But I think we all learned that polls were a crock of sh*t, at least for this election (nationwide, no less).

I'd also suggest that turnout was low because quite a few people felt that everything was a foregone conclusion. Out the 54 congressional districts in California, only one was competitive. With state assembly and senate offices, only a handful were competitive. Basically, few pols had any incentive to engage the voters. And as a result we remained unengaged.

The entire electorate got f*cked by this last round of redistricting, which created a number of "safe" districts for each party. (Essentially, the ones that were (R) or (D) prior to the election, will remain so.) In short, the mantra for the next 10 years will be "Save the incumbent, kill the voter."

G-d help us.

Posted by: Ann at November 10, 2002 08:53 PM

Ann -- Thanks for the smart stuff!

The shame of it is, there is probably no time like the present to rail against the evil gerrymandering ... people will soon forget that they don't have contested elections. If I have any spare time soon (an unlikely proposition), I may try to write something on it for the Daily News....

Posted by: Matt Welch at November 10, 2002 09:33 PM

"How the hell did 10% of Republicans, and 15% of conservatives, vote for Gray Davis?"

Perhaps some thought BS wasn't conservative enough, and voting for eGray was a protest vote.

You can get those stats to line up using tables, see an HTML reference for sample code.

What might be interesting is a comparison of this election's numbers with past elections. For instance, take the tables you have an do a difference with past elections.

Posted by: Lonewacko at November 10, 2002 11:08 PM

Your first point, that the Rs did a better job of getting their base to vote, assumes that the "Dcln" column is proportionally split among the parties, while it could be that Rs are more likely to not want to answer, think it's no one's business, be ashamed, whatever.

Posted by: flebbeflabba at November 11, 2002 12:32 AM
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